It’s officially arrived. The first mass St. John hurricane anxiety of the 2011 Atlantic Storm season. A few days ago a mass of thunderclouds got together some 1000 miles of the shores of the Lessor Antilles, which are a line of islands extending from the Virgin islands on the north to Trinidad and Tobago on the south.
Forecasts indicated that these storms had the probability of organizing and strengthening so the system was given a name, sort of, Invest 91.
Computer models had Invest 91 heading directly for the St. John and the Virgin Islands, with initial forecasts for strengthening into a class one hurricane upon it’s approach to Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.
After that, it’s on everyone’s mind. Hurricane plans! pain in the neck. It’s early on the season and nobody wants to even be thinking about it, but it’s a fact of life here on our little island in the corner of the Caribbean Sea.
Last night the Invest 91 got a proper name, Tropical Storm Emily. Looks like it went directly from being an “Invest” to a named Tropical Storm, sparing us the depression associated with the Tropical Depression stage.
Emily appears to be safely south of us at the moment, but we’re close enough to the area of intense activity to be declared under a “Tropical Storm Watch,” meaning that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area within 48 hours.
Hopefully there will be no significant change in direction and intensity as it passes by us to the south.
So we wait and watch.